Is 2021 The Year Of Populism?

I lost count of the number of articles saying ‘this time it’ll be different’ and that a current crisis of the moment was ‘the one’ that would bring change.

As 2020 comes to an end there are some unique events happening in the West, and the UK specifically, that cannot be ignored: The Covid19 Pandemic, or should I say governments’ poor measures to fight it, have eroded one of the major pillars of societal stability. Life is finally becoming uncomfortable and whether this is good news is debatable, but it is certainly good for creating major change. Things were uncomfortable in both the 1905 Russian upheaval https://www.history.com/topics/russia/russian-revolution and the formation of Hitlers Germany in 1933 https://www.history.com/topics/world-war-ii/adolf-hitler-1 I’m not suggesting that we are about to witness dictatorial rule or a revolution, merely the conditions for change are being met, if history is any kind of baromenter. (Incidentally there was the Spanish Flu pandemic around that time too https://www.britannica.com/event/influenza-pandemic-of-1918-1919

The most unseen control is the most effective

Looking at the late 20th and now the 21st century we can see that the main means of inducement of the population is comfort. Throughout all of human history from the point when we first started to use farm implements there has had to be some form of repression/coercion to keep the system, society, working. The serfs to toil, the knights to defend, the traders to trade and someone to oversee it all, minor aristos.

We eventually had a system that tells us the people are in charge and free to do whatever they want when in reality society exists as it does, exactly because people cannot do what they want and do not have the power to topple the system. It was called democracy.

Traditionally we, not surprisingly, think of this inducement in the most blunt and obvious form – the police. In most nations there is an army for dealing with external threats, but the police have the same hierarchy of ranks, uniforms and weapons, only their enemy is you. The good news is they don’t want to kill you, just push you into enough obedience for society to function. After the truncheon, many point the finger at religion or media as the great repress-or. Many views and opinions are formed for us by these two factors and it cannot be denied that they shape our way of thinking, the media now much more than religion, which can, and does, create coercion. Comfort though is usually not mentioned anywhere.

police 1

This isn’t to say that coercion/repression is evil. Without it, the societies that give us many benefits, could not stand and no one wants to go live in a cave. It is exactly this, that very few people are willing to go live off the land, that gives comfort so much power. What psychiatrists call ‘away- from motivation’ as opposed to ‘toward motivation’. Away from discomfort rather than toward comfort. Very powerful.

The overall global migration trend is for those with less to try to get into countries with more, thus increasing their level of comfort, and often negatively affecting the host populations comfort. The migrants may not put it in these terms, but humans tend to take the easy way out.

food bank

We have watched the glorious triumphant European transform from heroic and rock solid at the beginning of the 20th century into a pathetic echo of himself, and herself, by the the new millennium. The West is dying out demographically, the morals of Christianity are gone, the amount of debt has gone to nightmarish levels, and it would seem the average person of European descent has little to feel optimistic about.

When you have a lot to lose like a comfortable home, stable income, plus a lifestyle that two generations ago we could only dream of, it is only natural to not want to risk losing it.

homeless +shoppers

The fear of debt, migrant crisis, erosion of morals, etc. seemed so far in the future that it is never worth risking our comfortable present. But now the Covid19 pandemic has eaten away at our level of comfort and freedom so much that we can only expect to see big changes happening in the post Enlightenment nations.

Once the pleasant mainstream bourgeois lifestyle becomes impossible who knows where this will lead?

Covid19 and our comfort levels

The Pandemic has caused a major shock to small businesses as various shutdowns and quarantines brought the most havoc while leaving Amazon (profit up 100% since March) and other big players open for business. This advantage for certain international giants has really boosted their profits during a crisis.

This transfer of wealth may have tipped the scales enough for the amount of Europeans who have little to lose to reach critical mass. Protests against Covid19 measures, which the Mainstream Media (MSM) seems unable to manipulate at present, are becoming ever more frequent, and most notably, ever more populist. The protests also have a lot of overlap with the Yellow Vest movements. With everyone frustrated and affected by Covid19 measures, while at the same time there is a battle for power over a rigged 2020 U.S. presidential election, it looks as though the powder keg is dry, awaiting a spark.

flats

The main issue is for recent history is that, as stated above, comfort has worked as a means of keeping people the world over but most specifically in the West coerced into going along with the the plan. Now, however, in the face of the WEF The Great Reset it seems like the elite aren’t even hiding the plan any more. Comfort is decreasing and promises of a fourth industrial revolution doesn’t seem too promising.

Comfort and inaction

We saw that the role of comfort in coercion was very powerful when Maastricht was signed, the 2016 EU Referendum can was kicked down the road for four years and Farage just ‘walked away to get his life back’, now we have Boris shuffling around over Brexit. We have just about every one under house arrest while migrants come into Dover by dinghies and get put up in hotels. We also had Blair, his WMD and the Iraq war . Many people at the time felt that this was criminal, the end of democracy, and a cause for revolution. What actually happened is people carried some signs around, did a march and then and went home.

The same goes for the various BLM riots worldwide. But ultimately no one did anything. Fundamental injustices will always be tolerated because for most people, comfort is vastly more important than justice. Part of the reason the Soviet Union lost the Cold War is that simply the Communists wanted the West’s level of comfort. “Blue jeans and sausage” proved much more powerful than righteous Marxist positions.

Outside of the Supreme Soviet, the masses in Communist bloc nations could see on TV screens that elsewhere there is more stuff and people live better.

Historians delude themselves that the Warsaw Pact wanted Western freedom, when they actually wanted Western stuff. The real race in the Cold War was for the highest level of comfort.

To summarise

But now we are in a unique moment in history where there is not only a blatantly stolen US election, populist movements rising in Europe and the West, public outrage over Covid19 measures and Westminster incompetence.

But more importantly life is becoming finally uncomfortable. So uncomfortable that for many they are starting to have little to lose which is exactly why populist politicians will drive the change necessary to keep the West alive.

riot2

One of the main reasons the silent majority sits at home while radicals topple statues and vandalize society is comfort. Now that things are not very comfortable, and will get more so, the silent majority is not likely to stay silent in 2021.

2021 looks like being very interesting indeed. Happy New Year.

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